ABSTRACT
Since the emergence of SARS-CoV-2, global monitoring of the virus using whole genome sequencing has identified mutations occurring across the viral genome. Whilst the majority have little impact on the virus, they are used effectively to monitor the movement of the virus globally and to inform locally on transmission chains. In late 2020, a variant of SARS-CoV-2 (B.1.1.7 - VOC 202012/01) was identified in the UK with a distinct constellation of mutations, including in the spike gene that increased transmissibility. A deletion in spike also affected one of the screening qPCR tests being used in the UK outside of Wales, causing a failure to detect the target. This quickly became a surrogate marker for the variant to allow rapid monitoring of the virus as it seeded into new regions of the UK. A screening study using this assay as a proxy marker, was undertaken to understand the prevalence of the variant in Wales. Secondary analysis of a screening qPCR that didn’t target the S gene and also included an endogenous control, was also performed to understand viral load excretion in those infected with the variant compared to other circulating lineages. Using a combination of analytical methods based on the C t values of two gene targets normalised against the endogenous control, there was a difference in the excreted viral load. Those with the variant excreting more virus than those not infected with the variant. Supporting not only increased infectivity but offering a plausible reason why increased transmission was associated with this particular variant. Whilst there are limitations in this study, the method using C t as a proxy for viral load can be used at the population level to determine differences in viral excretion kinetics associated with different variants.
ABSTRACT
Currently the primary method for confirming acute SARS-CoV-2 infection is through the use of molecular assays that target highly conserved regions within the viral genome. Many, if not most of the diagnostic targets currently in use were produced early in the pandemic, using genomes sequenced and shared in early 2020. As viral diversity increases, mutations may arise in diagnostic target sites that have an impact on the performance of diagnostic tests. Here, we report on a local outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 which had gained an additional mutation at position 28890 of the nucleocapsid protein, on a background of pre-existing mutations at positions 28881, 28882, 28883 in one of the main circulating viral lineages in Wales at that time. The impact of this additional mutation had a statistically significant impact on the Ct value reported for the N gene target designed by the Chinese CDC and used in a number of commercial diagnostic products. Further investigation identified that, in viral genomes sequenced from Wales over the summer of 2020, the N gene had a higher rate of mutations in diagnostic target sites than other targets, with 115 issues identified affecting over 10% of all cases sequenced between February and the end of August 2020. In comparison an issue was identified for ORFab, the next most affected target, in less than 1.4% of cases over the same time period. This work emphasises the potential impact that mutations in diagnostic target sites can have on tracking local outbreaks, as well as demonstrating the value of genomics as a routine tool for identifying and explaining potential diagnostic primer issues as part of a laboratory quality management system. This work also indicates that with increasing genomic sequencing data availability, there is a need to re-evaluate the diagnostic targets that are in use for SARS-CoV-2 testing, to better target regions that are now demonstrated to be of lower variability.